Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 9.194254 10.498414 11.929624 13.618117 15.557462 17.717310 20.308105
2025-11-30 7.674136 9.438812 11.529151 14.193066 17.505519 21.499100 26.694838
2025-12-07 6.654202 8.625842 11.091261 14.410879 18.780357 24.358183 32.055499
2025-12-14 5.837972 7.899083 10.592953 14.387779 19.622621 26.628843 36.783042
2025-12-21 5.173591 7.263378 10.101010 14.257893 20.230828 28.561676 41.165446
2025-12-28 4.837100 7.022598 10.095089 14.759782 21.717422 31.796672 47.661651
2026-01-04 4.512485 6.753771 10.005739 15.106414 22.978556 34.785905 54.060589
2026-01-11 4.272274 6.577724 10.022519 15.592484 24.467985 38.221509 61.456630
2026-01-18 3.860254 6.096315 9.526874 15.228038 24.578744 39.503111 65.514519
2026-01-25 3.528429 5.707189 9.134119 14.978752 24.830507 41.001693 70.034820
2026-02-01 3.240473 5.361052 8.775835 14.744368 25.069316 42.474981 74.620630
2026-02-08 2.987169 5.048837 8.443665 14.517352 25.287100 43.910498 79.248721
2026-02-15 2.743196 4.735154 8.088115 14.226693 25.380945 45.161997 83.720256
2026-02-22 2.673665 4.716005 8.232349 14.824624 27.109401 49.471089 94.292250
2026-03-01 2.550140 4.589911 8.176846 15.052683 28.173116 52.649286 103.016104
2026-03-08 2.400013 4.402719 7.995389 15.028504 28.753550 54.960650 110.255016
2026-03-15 2.247867 4.199131 7.766748 14.892580 29.100569 56.842503 116.799746
2026-03-22 2.195948 4.179317 7.877246 15.417817 30.789716 61.505035 129.562655
2026-03-29 2.126231 4.119319 7.905496 15.780596 32.179514 65.681949 141.717699
2026-04-05 2.077810 4.096709 8.003251 16.289335 33.910874 70.711058 156.244910
2026-04-12 1.932888 3.870644 7.681961 15.907889 33.731988 71.691447 161.816994
2026-04-19 1.812443 3.685254 7.428487 15.646986 33.786626 73.172453 168.673643
2026-04-26 1.702874 3.514233 7.191695 15.401685 33.851911 74.676722 175.729163